VeabirdBeach

Xcalak Beach sargassum & beach forecast

Xcalak, MX · Costa Maya & Bacalar, Mexico · 18.271, -87.835

Updated : low seaweed, beach grade B+, sea 85°F.

Photo taken near Xcalak Beach Lodges
Nearby · Photo: Juan Ortega, CC BY 3.0

Veabird's call

FriB+SatB+SunB-MonB-TueC+

Friday is the day with B+, little seaweed, calm water and 85°F water.

February and April grade A-, and March is busiest with spring break and Semana Santa / Easter.

Grades from Veabird's beach forecast; wording by AI (Muse Spark), checked against the forecast. Updated Nov 13, 01:00 UTC.

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Questions about Xcalak Beach

Does Xcalak Beach get sargassum (seaweed)?

Only a little in most years. At Xcalak Beach the typical-year risk stays low, even around July, the usual peak (moderate or heavier seaweed on the beach in an estimated 18% of weeks). Landings vary by year, wind and currents.

How warm is the water at Xcalak Beach?

About 84°F in November. The sea is warmest in August and September (about 87°F) and coolest in January and February (about 80°F).

When is the best time to visit Xcalak Beach?

For warm water and dry weather, aim for January through May. May is usually the quietest of those, with about 7 rainy days and a sea near 85°F.

When is hurricane season at Xcalak Beach, and how often do storms hit?

The Atlantic hurricane season runs June through November and peaks around September. A tropical storm passed within 86 miles of Xcalak Beach in 18 of the 55 seasons from 1971 to 2025, and a hurricane within 58 miles in 5. The riskiest stretch is around October 1, when the chance of a storm passing in any one week is about 3%; across all of October it is about 9%. Flexible bookings and travel insurance help in the peak weeks.

Sargassum season at Xcalak Beach Lodges

Low sargassum risk year-round at Xcalak Beach Lodges: even around July, the usual peak, Veabird estimates moderate or heavier seaweed on the beach in about 18% of weeks. Actual landings vary a lot by year, wind and currents; check the live conditions above.

Estimated share of weeks in each month with moderate or heavier seaweed on the beach. Veabird takes the landing season seen on Quintana Roo's beaches (a Puerto Morelos beach camera, 2015–2020, and the Mexican Navy's beach alerts, 2022–2026) and scales it by how often NOAA AOML satellites see notable seaweed within about 20 km of this stretch of coast: 14% of weeks here on average, against 54% off Quintana Roo, so 27% of that season. The satellite share (2016–2024, the top fifth of all coast-weeks, adjusted for this beach's exposure of 100%) measures seaweed offshore, not on the sand: off the Riviera Maya it reads high even in winter, when little lands. Very low under 10%, Low 10–24%, Moderate 25–44%, High 45–69%, Very high 70%+. Beach faces 95°; onshore winds from that direction push seaweed ashore. Satellite sargassum data: USF Optical Oceanography Lab (Sargassum Watch System) via NOAA AOML. The satellite record as open data.

Costa Maya month by month

Typical weather, water temperature, seaweed and crowds for every month: the best time to visit Costa Maya.

Weather, water & seaweed by month at Xcalak Beach Lodges

Average highs run from about 80°F in January, February and March to 85°F in July, August and September. The sea is warmest in August and September (about 87°F) and coolest in January and February (about 80°F). April and May are usually the driest, with about 7 rainy days each; September and October are the wettest, with about 21 rainy days.

MonthAvg highSeaRainy daysSargassum
Jan80°F80°F14Very low
Feb80°F80°F11Very low
Mar80°F82°F9Very low
Apr82°F83°F7Very low
May83°F85°F7Low
Jun84°F86°F18Low
Jul85°F86°F20Low
Aug85°F87°F19Low
Sep85°F87°F21Very low
Oct84°F86°F21Very low
Nov82°F84°F19Very low
Dec81°F82°F19Very low

Monthly averages from 6 years of ERA5 reanalysis (Open-Meteo) for this area's 0.5° grid cell; rainy days have at least 1 mm (0.04 in). Sargassum is the typical-year estimate described above. Any given year can differ.

Cleanup & barriers

Offshore barriers
Barriers tried at Mahahual; frequently overwhelmed. Bacalar lagoon receives no sargassum.
Public cleanup
Municipal crews and some SEMAR support; far southern Quintana Roo is among the heaviest-hit coasts.
Resort crews
Small boutique hotels do hand raking.
Typical clearing time
1–3 days; often overwhelmed at peak

Safety notes

US State Dept: Quintana Roo, Level 2 (exercise increased caution)

Check official advisories and local flags before swimming. Decomposing sargassum releases hydrogen sulfide; avoid heavy piles.

Things to do near Xcalak, MX

Fly in for the best beach days

Suggested dates are a week in October. Change them to match the live forecast above.

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Coordinates approximate; forecasts are estimates, not safety guidance.