VeabirdBeach

The Lodge beach & sargassum forecast

Old Road, Antigua, AG · Leeward Islands (Anguilla to Antigua), Antigua & Barbuda · 17.017, -61.769

Updated : low seaweed, beach grade A-, sea 85°F.

Photo taken near The Lodge, Old Road
Nearby · Photo: Vincent van Zeijst, CC BY-SA 4.0

Veabird's call

FriA-SatA-SunA-MonA-TueA-

Try Friday at A- with low seaweed and 25% rain chance.

January and February grade A- here on this southwest facing beach, lowest seaweed in January.

Grades from Veabird's beach forecast; wording by AI (Muse Spark), checked against the forecast. Updated Nov 13, 06:00 UTC.

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Questions about The Lodge

Does The Lodge get sargassum (seaweed)?

Only a little in most years. At The Lodge the typical-year risk stays low, even around July, the usual peak (moderate or heavier seaweed on the beach in an estimated 17% of weeks). Landings vary by year, wind and currents.

How warm is the water at The Lodge?

About 84°F in November. The sea is warmest in October (about 86°F) and coolest in February (about 80°F).

When is the best time to visit The Lodge?

For warm water and dry weather, aim for January, February, June, November and December. June is usually the quietest of those, with about 15 rainy days and a sea near 83°F.

When is hurricane season at The Lodge, and how often do storms hit?

The Atlantic hurricane season runs June through November and peaks around September. A tropical storm passed within 86 miles of The Lodge in 24 of the 55 seasons from 1971 to 2025, and a hurricane within 58 miles in 10. The riskiest stretch is around August 27, when the chance of a storm passing in any one week is about 6%; across all of August it is about 19%. Flexible bookings and travel insurance help in the peak weeks.

Sargassum season at The Lodge

Low sargassum risk year-round at The Lodge: even around July, the usual peak, Veabird estimates moderate or heavier seaweed on the beach in about 17% of weeks. Actual landings vary a lot by year, wind and currents; check the live conditions above.

Estimated share of weeks in each month with moderate or heavier seaweed on the beach. Veabird takes the landing season measured on Martinique's shores (Madininair's hydrogen-sulfide sensors beside stranding sites, 2018–2026) and scales it by how often NOAA AOML satellites see notable seaweed within about 20 km of this stretch of coast: 5% of weeks here on average, against 14% off Martinique, so 38% of that season. The satellite share (2016–2024, the top fifth of all coast-weeks, adjusted for this beach's exposure of 33%) measures seaweed offshore, not on the sand: off the Riviera Maya it reads high even in winter, when little lands. Very low under 10%, Low 10–24%, Moderate 25–44%, High 45–69%, Very high 70%+. Beach faces 246°; onshore winds from that direction push seaweed ashore. Satellite sargassum data: USF Optical Oceanography Lab (Sargassum Watch System) via NOAA AOML. The satellite record as open data.

The Leeward Islands month by month

Typical weather, water temperature, seaweed and crowds for every month: the best time to visit the Leeward Islands.

Weather, water & seaweed by month at The Lodge

Average highs run from about 82°F in January and February to 88°F in July and August. The sea is warmest in October (about 86°F) and coolest in February (about 80°F). January is usually the driest, with about 11 rainy days; September is the wettest, with about 22 rainy days.

MonthAvg highSeaRainy daysSargassum
Jan82°F81°F11Very low
Feb82°F80°F13Very low
Mar83°F81°F17Very low
Apr84°F81°F18Very low
May86°F83°F19Low
Jun87°F83°F15Low
Jul88°F84°F19Low
Aug88°F84°F19Low
Sep87°F85°F22Very low
Oct86°F86°F20Very low
Nov84°F84°F16Very low
Dec83°F82°F13Very low

Monthly averages from 6 years of ERA5 reanalysis (Open-Meteo) for this area's 0.5° grid cell; rainy days have at least 1 mm (0.04 in). Sargassum is the typical-year estimate described above. Any given year can differ.

Cleanup & barriers

Offshore barriers
Few booms (some in St. Martin/St. Barths lagoons)
Public cleanup
Collectivité crews on French side; hotels elsewhere; Orient Bay and Grand Cul-de-Sac frequently inundated
Resort crews
Luxury resorts rake daily
Typical clearing time
Same-day at resorts; windward bays can stay fouled for weeks in peak years

Safety notes

US State Dept: Antigua & Barbuda, St. Kitts & Nevis, Anguilla Level 1; Sint Maarten Level 1; St. Martin (France) Level 2 per France (verify)

Check official advisories and local flags before swimming. Decomposing sargassum releases hydrogen sulfide; avoid heavy piles.

Things to do near Old Road, Antigua, AG

Fly in for the best beach days

Suggested dates are a week in December. Change them to match the live forecast above.

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Coordinates approximate; forecasts are estimates, not safety guidance.