Hotel Escalante beach & sargassum forecast
Progreso, MX · Yucatán & Campeche Gulf Coast, Mexico · 21.295, -89.601
Updated : low seaweed, beach grade B, sea 83°F.
Veabird's call
Sunday grade A- leads with little seaweed, 82°F water and 39% rain.
February at A- and March at A are typical highs, while July brings summer crowds.
Grades from Veabird's beach forecast; wording by AI (Muse Spark), checked against the forecast. Updated Nov 13, 01:00 UTC.
Tell me when Hotel Escalante is clear
One email when the seaweed clears or the beach grades A, at most once a week per beach. We only ask for your email address, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe.
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Questions about Hotel Escalante
Does Hotel Escalante get sargassum (seaweed)?
Rarely. Veabird estimates moderate or heavier seaweed on the beach here in fewer than one week in ten in every month. Landings vary by year, wind and currents.
How warm is the water at Hotel Escalante?
About 81°F in November. The sea is warmest in August and September (about 88°F) and coolest in January and February (about 76°F).
When is the best time to visit Hotel Escalante?
For warm water and dry weather, aim for March through May. May is usually the quietest of those, with about 6 rainy days and a sea near 84°F.
When is hurricane season at Hotel Escalante, and how often do storms hit?
The Atlantic hurricane season runs June through November and peaks around September. A tropical storm passed within 86 miles of Hotel Escalante in 13 of the 55 seasons from 1971 to 2025, and a hurricane within 58 miles in 5. The riskiest stretch is around August 27, when the chance of a storm passing in any one week is about 2%; across all of September it is about 8%. Flexible bookings and travel insurance help in the peak weeks.
Sargassum season at Hotel Escalante
Sargassum is rare at Hotel Escalante: Veabird estimates moderate or heavier seaweed on the beach in fewer than one week in ten in every month.
Estimated share of weeks in each month with moderate or heavier seaweed on the beach. Veabird takes the landing season seen on Quintana Roo's beaches (a Puerto Morelos beach camera, 2015–2020, and the Mexican Navy's beach alerts, 2022–2026), the nearest coast with a multi-year beach record (this one has none), and scales it by how often NOAA AOML satellites see notable seaweed within about 20 km of this stretch of coast: 5% of weeks here on average, against 54% off Quintana Roo, so 10% of that season. The satellite share (2016–2024, the top fifth of all coast-weeks, adjusted for this beach's exposure of 35%) measures seaweed offshore, not on the sand: off the Riviera Maya it reads high even in winter, when little lands. Very low under 10%, Low 10–24%, Moderate 25–44%, High 45–69%, Very high 70%+. Beach faces 351°; onshore winds from that direction push seaweed ashore. Satellite sargassum data: USF Optical Oceanography Lab (Sargassum Watch System) via NOAA AOML. The satellite record as open data.
The Yucatán Gulf Coast month by month
Typical weather, water temperature, seaweed and crowds for every month: the best time to visit the Yucatán Gulf Coast.
- The Yucatán Gulf Coast in January
- The Yucatán Gulf Coast in February
- The Yucatán Gulf Coast in March
- The Yucatán Gulf Coast in April
- The Yucatán Gulf Coast in May
- The Yucatán Gulf Coast in June
- The Yucatán Gulf Coast in July
- The Yucatán Gulf Coast in August
- The Yucatán Gulf Coast in September
- The Yucatán Gulf Coast in October
- The Yucatán Gulf Coast in November
- The Yucatán Gulf Coast in December
Weather, water & seaweed by month at Hotel Escalante
Average highs run from about 81°F in January to 92°F in May. The sea is warmest in August and September (about 88°F) and coolest in January and February (about 76°F). April is usually the driest, with about 4 rainy days; August and September are the wettest, with about 20 rainy days.
| Month | Avg high | Sea | Rainy days | Sargassum |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 81°F | 76°F | 8 | Very low |
| Feb | 83°F | 76°F | 5 | Very low |
| Mar | 87°F | 79°F | 5 | Very low |
| Apr | 90°F | 80°F | 4 | Very low |
| May | 92°F | 84°F | 6 | Very low |
| Jun | 90°F | 85°F | 16 | Very low |
| Jul | 90°F | 86°F | 14 | Very low |
| Aug | 90°F | 88°F | 20 | Very low |
| Sep | 89°F | 88°F | 20 | Very low |
| Oct | 86°F | 85°F | 18 | Very low |
| Nov | 83°F | 81°F | 13 | Very low |
| Dec | 82°F | 78°F | 9 | Very low |
Monthly averages from 6 years of ERA5 reanalysis (Open-Meteo) for this area's 0.5° grid cell; rainy days have at least 1 mm (0.04 in). Sargassum is the typical-year estimate described above. Any given year can differ.
Cleanup & barriers
- Offshore barriers
- None.
- Public cleanup
- Municipal crews; Gulf-side landings are usually light.
- Resort crews
- Hotel crews as needed.
- Typical clearing time
- 1–3 days
Safety notes
US State Dept: Yucatán, Level 1; Campeche, Level 2
- Very shallow, calm Gulf water; lower rip risk.
- Northers (nortes) Nov–Mar bring wind and cooler water.
Check official advisories and local flags before swimming. Decomposing sargassum releases hydrogen sulfide; avoid heavy piles.
Things to do near Progreso, MX
- Mérida historic center
- Celestún flamingos
- Uxmal & Edzná ruins
- Campeche walled city (UNESCO)
Fly in for the best beach days
Suggested dates are a week in December. Change them to match the live forecast above.
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Nearest airports
- Mérida Intl (MID), ~40 km
Nearby resorts
- Villas Yessenia Progreso, MX · 1 km
- TecnoHotel Casa Villamar Progreso, MX · 5 km
- Hotel José y Lety Progreso, MX · 6 km
- Hotel & Suites Domani Progreso, MX · 6 km
- Hotel Playa Linda Progreso, MX · 6 km
- Progreso Beach Resorts Progreso, MX · 7 km
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