VeabirdBeach

Blue Bay Beach sargassum & beach forecast

Orient Bay, St. Martin · Leeward Islands (Anguilla to Antigua), Antigua & Barbuda · 18.088, -63.022

Updated : low seaweed, beach grade B+, sea 85°F.

Orient Bay, near Blue Bay Beach, Orient Bay
Orient Bay · Photo: Clavius66, CC BY-SA 3.0

Veabird's call

FriB+SatB+SunB+MonBTueB+

Pick Sunday B+ with low seaweed, 85°F water and 20% rain.

May and June grade A-, and seaweed is usually lowest in June.

Grades from Veabird's beach forecast; wording by AI (Muse Spark), checked against the forecast. Updated Nov 13, 06:00 UTC.

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Tell me when Blue Bay Beach is clear

One email when the seaweed clears or the beach grades A, at most once a week per beach. We only ask for your email address, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe.

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Questions about Blue Bay Beach

Does Orient Bay get sargassum (seaweed)?

Yes, in season. At Blue Bay Beach the typical-year risk is moderate or higher from May to August and peaks in July (high). How much lands varies a lot by year, wind and currents.

What are the worst and best months for seaweed at Blue Bay Beach?

Worst: July, when heavy seaweed is most likely. Best: September through April, when the risk is usually low.

How warm is the water at Blue Bay Beach?

About 84°F in November. The sea is warmest in September and October (about 86°F) and coolest in February (about 80°F).

When is the best time to visit Blue Bay Beach?

For warm water, low seaweed and dry weather, aim for December through March. January is usually the quietest of those, with about 11 rainy days and a sea near 81°F; seaweed risk is very low.

Does Blue Bay Beach have a sargassum barrier or beach cleanup?

Veabird doesn't track barriers hotel by hotel; this is what the Leeward Islands area does. Offshore barriers in Leeward Islands: few booms (some in St. Martin/St. Barths lagoons). Resort crews: Luxury resorts rake daily. Typical clearing time: Same-day at resorts; windward bays can stay fouled for weeks in peak years.

When is hurricane season at Blue Bay Beach, and how often do storms hit?

The Atlantic hurricane season runs June through November and peaks around September. A tropical storm passed within 86 miles of Blue Bay Beach in 21 of the 55 seasons from 1971 to 2025, and a hurricane within 58 miles in 10. The riskiest stretch is around August 27, when the chance of a storm passing in any one week is about 5%; across all of August it is about 16%. Flexible bookings and travel insurance help in the peak weeks.

Sargassum season at Blue Bay Beach

Sargassum risk at Blue Bay Beach typically peaks around July (high: moderate or heavier seaweed on the beach in an estimated 45% of weeks). Months most likely to see heavy seaweed: July. Lowest-risk months: January, February, March, April, September, October, November and December. Actual landings vary a lot by year, wind and currents; check the live conditions above.

Estimated share of weeks in each month with moderate or heavier seaweed on the beach. Veabird takes the landing season measured on Martinique's shores (Madininair's hydrogen-sulfide sensors beside stranding sites, 2018–2026) and scales it by how often NOAA AOML satellites see notable seaweed within about 20 km of this stretch of coast: 21% of weeks here on average, against 14% off Martinique, so the full season applies. The satellite share (2016–2024, the top fifth of all coast-weeks, adjusted for this beach's exposure of 91%) measures seaweed offshore, not on the sand: off the Riviera Maya it reads high even in winter, when little lands. Very low under 10%, Low 10–24%, Moderate 25–44%, High 45–69%, Very high 70%+. Beach faces 54°; onshore winds from that direction push seaweed ashore. Satellite sargassum data: USF Optical Oceanography Lab (Sargassum Watch System) via NOAA AOML. The satellite record as open data.

The Leeward Islands month by month

Typical weather, water temperature, seaweed and crowds for every month: the best time to visit the Leeward Islands.

Weather, water & seaweed by month at Blue Bay Beach

Average highs run from about 79°F in February and March to 85°F in September. The sea is warmest in September and October (about 86°F) and coolest in February (about 80°F). June is usually the driest, with about 9 rainy days; October is the wettest, with about 17 rainy days. Seaweed risk is usually lowest in December and highest in July.

MonthAvg highSeaRainy daysSargassum
Jan80°F81°F11Very low
Feb79°F80°F10Low
Mar79°F81°F10Low
Apr80°F81°F12Low
May82°F83°F10Moderate
Jun83°F83°F9Moderate
Jul84°F84°F13High
Aug84°F85°F14Moderate
Sep85°F86°F16Low
Oct84°F86°F17Very low
Nov82°F84°F16Very low
Dec81°F82°F11Very low

Monthly averages from 6 years of ERA5 reanalysis (Open-Meteo) for this area's 0.5° grid cell; rainy days have at least 1 mm (0.04 in). Sargassum is the typical-year estimate described above. Any given year can differ.

Cleanup & barriers

Offshore barriers
Few booms (some in St. Martin/St. Barths lagoons)
Public cleanup
Collectivité crews on French side; hotels elsewhere; Orient Bay and Grand Cul-de-Sac frequently inundated
Resort crews
Luxury resorts rake daily
Typical clearing time
Same-day at resorts; windward bays can stay fouled for weeks in peak years

Safety notes

US State Dept: Antigua & Barbuda, St. Kitts & Nevis, Anguilla Level 1; Sint Maarten Level 1; St. Martin (France) Level 2 per France (verify)

Check official advisories and local flags before swimming. Decomposing sargassum releases hydrogen sulfide; avoid heavy piles.

Things to do near Orient Bay, St. Martin

Fly in for the best beach days

Suggested dates fall in December, typically the lowest-seaweed month ahead for Blue Bay Beach. Change them to match the live forecast above.

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Coordinates approximate; forecasts are estimates, not safety guidance.