Bay St. Louis Beach forecast: weather, water & waves
Bay St. Louis, MS · Alabama & Mississippi Coast, United States · 30.306, -89.328
Updated : very low seaweed, beach grade A-, sea 70°F.
Veabird's call
Friday Nov 13 is your window: A-, 0.9 ft waves, Very low seaweed, 1% rain.
October (A) and September (A-) lead the year, and JUMP plays 2 mi away Nov 14.
Grades from Veabird's beach forecast; wording by AI (Muse Spark), checked against the forecast. Updated Nov 13, 01:00 UTC.
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Questions about Bay St. Louis Beach
Does Bay St. Louis Beach get sargassum (seaweed)?
Rarely. Veabird estimates moderate or heavier seaweed on the beach here in fewer than one week in ten in every month. Landings vary by year, wind and currents.
How warm is the water at Bay St. Louis Beach?
About 69°F in November. The sea is warmest in July and August (about 90°F) and coolest in January (about 53°F).
When is the best time to visit Bay St. Louis Beach?
For warm water and less rain, aim for May, June, August and September. September is usually the quietest of those, with about 15 rainy days and a sea near 85°F.
When is hurricane season at Bay St. Louis Beach, and how often do storms hit?
The Atlantic hurricane season runs June through November and peaks around September. A tropical storm passed within 86 miles of Bay St. Louis Beach in 16 of the 55 seasons from 1971 to 2025, and a hurricane within 58 miles in 7. The riskiest stretch is around September 3, when the chance of a storm passing in any one week is about 4%; across all of September it is about 13%. Flexible bookings and travel insurance help in the peak weeks.
Sargassum season at Bay St. Louis Beach Hotels
Sargassum is rare at Bay St. Louis Beach Hotels: Veabird estimates moderate or heavier seaweed on the beach in fewer than one week in ten in every month.
Estimated share of weeks in each month with moderate or heavier seaweed on the beach. Veabird takes the landing season seen on Quintana Roo's beaches (a Puerto Morelos beach camera, 2015–2020, and the Mexican Navy's beach alerts, 2022–2026), the nearest coast with a multi-year beach record (this one has none), and scales it by how often NOAA AOML satellites see notable seaweed within about 20 km of this stretch of coast: 3% of weeks here on average, against 54% off Quintana Roo, so 5% of that season. The satellite share (2016–2024, the top fifth of all coast-weeks, adjusted for this beach's exposure of 12%) measures seaweed offshore, not on the sand: off the Riviera Maya it reads high even in winter, when little lands. Very low under 10%, Low 10–24%, Moderate 25–44%, High 45–69%, Very high 70%+. Beach faces 135°; onshore winds from that direction push seaweed ashore. Satellite sargassum data: USF Optical Oceanography Lab (Sargassum Watch System) via NOAA AOML. The satellite record as open data.
The Alabama & Mississippi coast month by month
Typical weather, water temperature, seaweed and crowds for every month: the best time to visit the Alabama & Mississippi coast.
- The Alabama & Mississippi coast in January
- The Alabama & Mississippi coast in February
- The Alabama & Mississippi coast in March
- The Alabama & Mississippi coast in April
- The Alabama & Mississippi coast in May
- The Alabama & Mississippi coast in June
- The Alabama & Mississippi coast in July
- The Alabama & Mississippi coast in August
- The Alabama & Mississippi coast in September
- The Alabama & Mississippi coast in October
- The Alabama & Mississippi coast in November
- The Alabama & Mississippi coast in December
Weather, water & seaweed by month at Bay St. Louis Beach Hotels
Average highs run from about 60°F in January to 90°F in August. The sea is warmest in July and August (about 90°F) and coolest in January (about 53°F). October is usually the driest, with about 7 rainy days; July is the wettest, with about 24 rainy days.
| Month | Avg high | Sea | Rainy days | Sargassum |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 60°F | 53°F | 11 | Very low |
| Feb | 65°F | 56°F | 11 | Very low |
| Mar | 71°F | 65°F | 12 | Very low |
| Apr | 75°F | 73°F | 12 | Very low |
| May | 82°F | 81°F | 18 | Very low |
| Jun | 87°F | 87°F | 21 | Very low |
| Jul | 89°F | 90°F | 24 | Very low |
| Aug | 90°F | 90°F | 21 | Very low |
| Sep | 86°F | 85°F | 15 | Very low |
| Oct | 79°F | 77°F | 7 | Very low |
| Nov | 71°F | 69°F | 9 | Very low |
| Dec | 64°F | 59°F | 10 | Very low |
Monthly averages from 6 years of ERA5 reanalysis (Open-Meteo) for this area's 0.5° grid cell; rainy days have at least 1 mm (0.04 in). Sargassum is the typical-year estimate described above. Any given year can differ.
Cleanup & barriers
- Offshore barriers
- None offshore; Mississippi Sound barrier islands naturally shelter Biloxi.
- Public cleanup
- Gulf Shores/Orange Beach city crews and Harrison County sand beach dept. rake daily in summer.
- Resort crews
- Daily raking at resort frontage.
- Typical clearing time
- same-day
Safety notes
US domestic
- Frequent rip currents at Gulf Shores/Orange Beach.
- Mississippi Sound water quality advisories after heavy rain (MDEQ).
Check official advisories and local flags before swimming. Decomposing sargassum releases hydrogen sulfide; avoid heavy piles.
Things to do near Bay St. Louis, MS
- Gulf State Park & pier
- The Wharf (Orange Beach)
- Flora-Bama
- Biloxi casinos & Lighthouse
- Ship Island ferry
Fly in for the best beach days
Suggested dates are a week in December. Change them to match the live forecast above.
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Nearest airports
- Gulfport–Biloxi Intl (GPT), ~27 km
- New Orleans Louis Armstrong Intl (MSY), ~96 km
Nearby resorts
- The Inn at Long Beach Gulfport, MS · 17 km
- Island View Casino Resort Gulfport, MS · 22 km
- Courtyard by Marriott Gulfport Beachfront Gulfport, MS · 25 km
- Quality Inn Biloxi Beach Biloxi, MS · 35 km
- Days Inn by Wyndham Biloxi Beach Biloxi, MS · 38 km
- South Beach Biloxi, MS · 38 km
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